What Happens when the Doomsday Glacier Melts?

Gary A. Fowler
6 min readJul 18, 2024

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Introduction

The Doomsday Glacier, formally known as the Thwaites Glacier, is a crucial part of our planet’s ice landscape. Its potential to drastically affect global sea levels has earned it a foreboding nickname. Understanding what happens if the Doomsday Glacier melts is essential for preparing for and mitigating its impacts.

Understanding the Doomsday Glacier

Location and Size

The Thwaites Glacier is located in West Antarctica and spans approximately 120 kilometers (75 miles) across. It is one of the largest and most significant glaciers in the region, acting as a critical barrier to the ice sheets behind it.

Why It’s Called the Doomsday Glacier

This glacier has been dubbed the Doomsday Glacier due to its potential to cause catastrophic sea level rise if it melts. Researchers have estimated that its complete disintegration could lead to a sea level rise of up to 10 feet, affecting millions of people worldwide.

The Science Behind Glacial Melting

Factors Contributing to Melting

Several factors contribute to the melting of glaciers, including temperature increases, changes in ocean currents, and the influx of warm water under the ice shelves. Human activities have accelerated these processes, primarily through greenhouse gas emissions.

Climate Change and Global Warming

The link between climate change and glacial melting is well-documented. Rising global temperatures are causing polar ice to melt at unprecedented rates, contributing to rising sea levels and altering weather patterns globally.

Current State of the Doomsday Glacier

Recent Observations

Recent studies have shown that the Thwaites Glacier is melting more rapidly than previously thought. Satellite imagery and on-the-ground research reveal significant ice loss and structural weakening.

Rate of Melting

The glacier is currently losing ice at a rate of approximately 50 billion tons per year. This rapid melting contributes significantly to global sea level rise, posing a severe threat to coastal communities.

Potential Impact of Melting

Immediate Effects on Ocean Levels

Short-term Rise

If the Thwaites Glacier were to melt, it could cause an immediate rise in sea levels by up to 2 feet. This short-term effect would be devastating for low-lying areas, leading to increased flooding and erosion.

Long-term Rise

The long-term consequences could be even more dire. As the Thwaites Glacier acts as a natural dam, its collapse would likely release other ice sheets in West Antarctica, potentially causing a sea level rise of up to 10 feet.

The Role of Thwaites Glacier as a Natural Dam

Impact on Other West Antarctic Ice

The Thwaites Glacier holds back a vast amount of ice in West Antarctica. If it collapses, the ice behind it would flow more freely into the ocean, accelerating sea level rise.

Total Potential Rise in Ocean Levels

Researchers estimate that the complete melting of the Thwaites Glacier and the subsequent release of other ice could raise sea levels by up to 10 feet. This would reshape coastlines and displace millions of people.

Global Consequences

Impact on Coastal Cities

Flooding

Many of the world’s major cities, such as New York, Tokyo, and London, are located in coastal areas. A significant rise in sea levels would lead to severe flooding, damaging infrastructure and homes.

Economic Consequences

The economic impact of such flooding would be enormous, with damages running into trillions of dollars. Insurance costs would skyrocket, and economies would struggle to cope with the extensive damage.

Impact on Ecosystems

Marine Life

Rising sea levels and changes in water temperature could disrupt marine ecosystems, affecting fish populations and other marine life. This would have a knock-on effect on global fisheries and food supply.

Biodiversity

Loss of habitat due to rising seas would also threaten biodiversity. Many species could face extinction if they are unable to adapt to the rapidly changing environment.

Impact on Human Populations

Displacement and Migration

As sea levels rise, millions of people living in coastal areas would be forced to migrate. This mass displacement would create humanitarian crises and put a strain on resources and infrastructure in receiving areas.

Infrastructure Challenges

Rising seas would also damage critical infrastructure, such as roads, bridges, and sewage systems. The cost of repairing and upgrading this infrastructure to cope with higher sea levels would be staggering.

Economic Implications

Cost of Damage

The financial cost of the damage caused by rising sea levels would be immense. Governments would need to allocate significant resources to repair and rebuild, impacting other areas of spending.

Impact on Global Economy

The global economy would also be affected, as disruptions to trade, agriculture, and fisheries would have far-reaching consequences. Markets would be destabilized, and economic growth would slow.

Environmental Feedback Loops

Accelerated Warming

Melting glaciers contribute to a feedback loop that accelerates global warming. As ice melts, less sunlight is reflected back into space, causing the Earth to absorb more heat and further increasing temperatures.

Changes in Ocean Currents

The influx of fresh water from melting glaciers could alter ocean currents, affecting weather patterns globally. These changes could lead to more extreme weather events, such as hurricanes and droughts.

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies

Reducing Carbon Emissions

One of the most effective ways to mitigate the impact of melting glaciers is to reduce carbon emissions. Transitioning to renewable energy sources and implementing energy-efficient practices are crucial steps in this direction.

Innovative Engineering Solutions

Engineering solutions, such as building sea walls and developing flood-resistant infrastructure, can help protect vulnerable areas from rising seas. Additionally, geoengineering techniques may offer ways to slow down or reverse the melting process.

The Role of International Cooperation

Global Policies

Addressing the issue of melting glaciers requires international cooperation. Global policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions and protecting the environment are essential to mitigate the impacts.

Collaborative Research and Action

Collaboration between countries in research and implementation of solutions is vital. Sharing knowledge and resources can accelerate the development of effective strategies to combat glacial melting.

The Urgency of Action

Scientific Consensus

There is a broad consensus among scientists that immediate action is necessary to address the melting of glaciers. The longer we wait, the more severe the consequences will be.

Public Awareness and Education

Raising public awareness about the impacts of glacial melting and the importance of taking action is crucial. Education can drive behavior change and support for policies aimed at mitigating climate change.

Conclusion

The potential melting of the Doomsday Glacier poses a significant threat to our planet. The immediate and long-term impacts on sea levels, coastal cities, ecosystems, and human populations are profound. Addressing this issue requires urgent action, international cooperation, and innovative solutions. By reducing carbon emissions and implementing protective measures, we can mitigate the effects and protect our planet for future generations.

FAQs

What is the Doomsday Glacier?

The Doomsday Glacier, also known as the Thwaites Glacier, is a large glacier in West Antarctica that has the potential to significantly raise global sea levels if it melts.

How fast is the Doomsday Glacier melting?

The Thwaites Glacier is currently losing ice at a rate of about 50 billion tons per year, contributing to rising sea levels.

What can be done to slow down the melting?

Reducing carbon emissions, transitioning to renewable energy, and implementing innovative engineering solutions can help slow down the melting of glaciers.

How will melting glaciers affect global weather patterns?

Melting glaciers can alter ocean currents and contribute to more extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, droughts, and shifts in weather patterns globally.

What are the most affected areas if the Doomsday Glacier melts?

Coastal cities and low-lying areas would be most affected by the rising sea levels caused by the melting of the Doomsday Glacier, leading to flooding and displacement of populations.

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Gary A. Fowler

Founder & CEO of GSDVS, Generative AI Guy, Speaker, Author, Investor and Venture Scaler